Person

Keir Macdonald

Keir Macdonald

Research Officer

Keir Macdonald has been a Research Officer in the IDS Business, Markets and the State cluster since 2020. His interests include the role of public and private financing in development, and the future of social and environmental impact investing. His work at IDS has involved assessing how development finance institutions mobilise private capital in emerging and frontier markets, particularly for renewable energy projects; analysing how development projects aim to create market systems change and how private investment affects and is affected by this systemic change; and reviewing how different actors contribute to financing global climate mitigation and adaptation programmes.

Keir has worked on several projects analysing how development finance institutions and development banks invest. This includes work on a multi-faceted longitudinal study of British International Investment (BII, formerly CDC), specifically analysing how BII have mobilised private capital in the African and Asian markets in which they invest. This has involved several components: quantitative analysis of BII’s portfolio to understand how different investments have mobilised private capital; assisting qualitative studies of specific investments to understand the mechanisms through which BII have mobilised capital; and working with a team of machine-learning specialists to develop a tool for tracking investor sentiment in markets in which BII have invested and key drivers of changes in sentiment. As part of a separate project, Keir has mapped investments made by Chinese development banks in renewable energy projects in Africa to help better understand how these investments might contribute to the “greening” of different countries’ energy mixes.

Keir has worked on several systems change projects, most recently with a large international NGO as part of an assessment of how well their development programmes contribute to systemic change across Africa, Latin America, and Asia, with a focus on Latin America. Keir has also completed a process tracing analysis of a market systems change programme in Ethiopia aimed at creating a more active private equity market to support small local firms.

Keir has also authored numerous literature reviews, some of which have been developed into academic publications, and helpdesk reports for the FCDO’s Knowledge for Development programme. These include work on topics including how private finance can contribute to “nature-based solutions” to contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation; the strengths and weaknesses of different standards and guidelines which exist to encourage international responsible business conduct; and assessments of how changing power dynamics between different geopolitical actors affect both international development norms and international development finance activity, with a focus on China.

Prior to joining IDS, Keir worked for five years at Redington Ltd., a London-based investment consultant, where he led research into investment strategies and investment managers in renewable energy, infrastructure, and real estate. This involved in-depth qualitative and quantitative analysis, and building relationships with global and domestic investment managers operating in these sectors. Alongside this role he co-ran RedSTART Educate, a charity focusing on providing financial education to primary school children in the UK.

In September 2020 Keir completed an MA in Development Studies at IDS, including writing a dissertation exploring the different actors affecting financial education policy and implementation in developing countries. His other research during focused on the provision of renewable energy to rural communities in Kenya.

Research

Project

Implementation Research in Food Policy

Our Implementation research work maps the process of design and delivery of project interventions using methods such as social network analysis, behavioural change assessments and political risk analysis. It works with a theory of change to identify and analyse areas for strengthening of...

Project

K4D Prosperity Fund COVID-19 Evidence and Learning Initiative

This Evidence and Learning Initiative was a cooperation with the Prosperity Fund (PF). It helped to ensure that in the current context of COVID-19, changes to the existing PF portfolio (and investments in new ones) are informed by and contribute to the evidence base on how the pandemic is...

Programme

IDS China Centre

The IDS China Centre, part of the IDS International Initiatives, provides research focus on a country transforming global geopolitics due to its strategic importance, role in the global south and its commitment to development. It recognises that tackling universal challenges such as climate...

Centre

Centre for Development Impact

The Centre for Development Impact (CDI) contributes to learning and innovation in the field of impact evaluation. The Centre aims to improve the assessment of impact on the poor, particularly through the use of appropriate, mixed method, and robust evaluation designs.

Publications

Journal Article

Fintech and Tax in Sub-Saharan Africa: Taxation Versus Financial Inclusion

Journal of Cultural Economy 15.4

The rise of digital financial services has attracted growing attention from governments in Sub-Saharan Africa seeking to raise tax revenue. In the context of global concerns around how governments can tax the digital economy and fintech, we evaluate recent debates over mobile money taxation in...

Philip Mader
Philip Mader & 2 others

24 August 2022

Keir Macdonald’s recent work